Geopolitics
235 unrolled threads about geopolitics, each one readable on a single page.
Cap. Edwin Ortega S.@EdwinOrtegaS¿Por qué Donald Trump habría elegido a Delta Force y no a los Navy SEALs? No es ideología ni marketing: es lectura del terreno, del blanco y de la resistencia esperada. #VenezuelaLibre Abro hilo 🧵… h...
SummaryEl hilo analiza por qué Delta Force sería elegida sobre Navy SEALs para una posible operación en Venezuela contra Maduro. Delta está mejor diseñada para escenarios con resistencia fuerte, combate urbano prolongado y necesidad de adaptación bajo caos, mientras que SEALs excelen en misiones quirúrgicas rápidas con control total del escenario.Jan 3, 20268 tweets♥ 10.1K
Warfare Analysis@warfareanalysisA leaked WikiLeaks cable from 2007 reveals some of UAE Mohammed bin Zayed’s views on free elections, Islam, Quran schools…. Pakistan… 🧵 Thread 1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9
SummaryA 2007 WikiLeaks cable reveals UAE Crown Prince Mohammed bin Zayed's views on democracy, Islam, and regional threats, including his opposition to free elections in Muslim countries (claiming voters would choose Islamists), concerns about Iran and jihadist groups, and skepticism about Quranic schools. The cable also documents his frustration with U.S. pressure on democracy while his government follows American orders on foreign policy and security issues.Nov 1, 202511 tweets♥ 7.7K
Visegrád 24@visegrad24This thread covers the growing mass-protests that just erupted in Iran against the Islamic regime We’ll delve into the economic reasons behind them, the influence of the 12-Day-War with Israel and wh...
SummaryMass protests have erupted across Iran driven by severe economic collapse, with the rial hitting historic lows of 1.4 million per dollar, compounded by damage from the 2025 conflict with Israel and decades of mismanagement. Demonstrators from bazaar merchants to retirees demand economic relief and systemic change, with exiled Crown Prince Reza Pahlavi positioning himself as a potential transitional leader for democratic governance and economic recovery.Dec 29, 202526 tweets♥ 7.5K
Prof. Bonk 🇺🇦 Perverse & Unintended Consequences@actfast🧵🇷🇺 A Russian general just leaked a devastating trade-off: the Kremlin is prioritizing taking Donbas over protecting the sky above its own occupied land. Putin is spending Russia to buy ground. Ukra...
SummaryA Russian general leaked that the Kremlin is prioritizing territorial gains in Donbas over air defense and critical infrastructure, leaving Russia's fuel supply devastated by Ukrainian strikes on refineries and tanker fleets. With 20-40% of refining capacity offline, severe fuel shortages affecting 50 million Russians, and inability to recruit sufficient troops while maintaining air cover, Russia faces a strategic crisis where territorial advancement comes at unsustainable cost.Jul 11, 202611 tweets♥ 8.2K
Mersen@mersenOn a recent @joerogan episode, @ComicDaveSmith talked about misinformation on Iran, but ended up spreading several misleading and one-sided claims. As an Iranian, I fact-checked just 3 minutes of what...
SummaryAn Iranian fact-checker critiques Joe Rogan guest Dave Smith's claims about Iran, finding numerous misleading statements regarding protest sizes, death tolls, and evidence of government violence. The thread argues that Smith downplayed civilian casualties, repeated unverified state claims, and ignored systematic repression while using internet blackouts to justify the regime's narrative.Mar 29, 202611 tweets♥ 7.4K
John Hudson@John_HudsonNEW: A classified report by the National Intelligence Council, representing the collective wisdom of America's 18 intelligence agencies, found that even a large-scale assault on Iran would be unlikely...
SummaryA classified National Intelligence Council report involving all 18 U.S. intelligence agencies concluded that even a large-scale military assault on Iran would be unlikely to oust its entrenched clerical and military establishment, with succession protocols designed to preserve power continuity. The report contradicts Trump's stated plan to 'clean out' Iran's leadership and install a preferred ruler, finding Iran's fragmented opposition unlikely to seize control even if the regime were destabilized.Mar 7, 20267 tweets♥ 6.2K
Larry Alex Taunton@LarryTauntonHOW THE LORD WORKS MYSTERIOUSLY: 🧵 As you must now know, there was a pro-freedom march in London today. Led by @TRobinsonNewEra, it was a huge success. According to Metro Police, only 50k showed up...
SummaryA Christian activist recounts a decade-long effort to raise awareness about persecution of Christians in Nigeria, culminating in Nigerian Bishop Jwan Zhumbes speaking at a pro-freedom march in London's Parliament Square, describing it as God's mysterious plan unfolding over time.May 16, 202622 tweets♥ 7.9K
Meaghan Mobbs@mobbs_mentalityI uploaded verified images of the “peace” document to Grok. I prompted, “Analyze this document from a logistic perspective. It is in English, but assess whether or not it has been translated. If so,...
SummaryA user analyzed an alleged "peace" document using AI and found linguistic evidence suggesting it was translated from Russian rather than originally written in English, with phrasing resembling Russian Foreign Ministry proposals. The thread raises questions about the document's true authorship, why a Russian-language document would be presented as U.S. policy, and who knew about its origins.Nov 22, 202512 tweets♥ 6K
Qasem Al-Ali@AlaliQasemJPMorgan just published the scariest oil chart I’ve ever seen. World inventories are in freefall. And when this line hits 6.8 — the global energy system doesn’t slow down. It breaks. 🧵 ...
SummaryJPMorgan analysis warns that global oil inventories are rapidly declining toward a critical 6.8 billion barrel threshold by September 2026, below which the physical infrastructure of refineries and pipelines would fail, potentially causing simultaneous repricing across all interconnected markets. The timeline projects an Iran war disruption in February 2026 and operational stress by June 2026, with unprecedented systemic risks as traditional market models cannot predict such infrastructure collapse scenarios.May 9, 20265 tweets♥ 5.8K
John Ʌ Konrad V@johnkonradLet's unpack this.. What if the White House has no intention of reopening the Strait of Hormuz? What if this war is really about ships & tariffs? I had a long discussion with senior DOE official y...
SummaryThe author argues that Trump's administration is using maritime insurance and naval control rather than military force to regulate the Strait of Hormuz, and that recent policy setbacks have complicated the administration's broader agenda to restore American maritime dominance through chokepoint control and shipping tariffs.Mar 18, 202622 tweets♥ 7K
Spetsnaℤ 007 🇷🇺@Alex_Oloyede2I think alot have truly forgotten how peak Ukrainian propaganda was in 2022. 🧵1/9
SummaryA thread critiquing Ukrainian wartime propaganda from 2022, highlighting exaggerated claims about military victories (like the 'Ghost of Kyiv'), absurd stories, and arguing inconsistencies in narratives about Russian military capabilities and threat levels.Oct 24, 202510 tweets♥ 7.8K
Rod D. Martin@RodDMartin🧵 China’s population collapse is now mathematically irreversible. There simply aren’t enough women left of childbearing age. Even if the fertility rate magically returned to replacement level (2.1...
SummaryChina's population decline is mathematically irreversible due to the One Child Policy's cascading effects on female demographics. With a fertility rate around 0.92 and shrinking cohorts of childbearing-age women, China could lose 60-75% of its population by 2100, undermining its superpower status regardless of current government incentives to boost births.Jun 8, 20267 tweets♥ 6.4K
Iván Espinosa de los Monteros@ivanedlmEn estos días he asistido a un par de encuentros con @MariaCorinaYA en Madrid, y he tenido la ocasión de poder saludarla en persona. Hay algunas cosas de ella que me han llamado mucho la atención....
SummaryEl autor comparte sus impresiones tras encuentros con María Corina Machado en Madrid, destacando su calidez, empatía y sofisticación política. Describe sus objetivos para Venezuela: desmantelar la represión, facilitar una transición democrática con nuevas elecciones, impulsar reformas constitucionales y crear un marco institucional que garantice el Estado de Derecho y prosperidad económica.Apr 20, 202612 tweets♥ 6.2K
Mikhail Khodorkovsky@khodorkovsky_enPutin's biggest fear has been exposed. As a Russian dissident who spent 10 years in his prisons, I can tell you it's not sanctions or missiles. It's the rising legitimacy of the Russian opposition....
SummaryA Russian dissident argues that Putin's greatest fear is the rising international legitimacy of the opposition, particularly following PACE's establishment of a "Russian Democratic Forces Platform." With Putin's regime lacking succession plans and dependent entirely on his personal power, an internationally-recognized opposition could determine Russia's future, making this diplomatic development more threatening to the regime than military or economic sanctions.Oct 31, 202513 tweets♥ 6.3K
Himanshu Jain@HemanNamo🔴 OSINT BREAKDOWN: Rahul Gandhi secretly spotted in Muscat, Oman — TODAY — on election result eve. Cap. Glasses. No itinerary. No announcement. Why? Let’s draw the map. 🧵 1/8👇 ...
SummaryAn OSINT analysis claims India's Congress opposition leader Rahul Gandhi was secretly spotted in Muscat, Oman on election result eve, linking his presence to strategic ports (Great Nicobar and Duqm) allegedly connected to the Adani Group and Indian geopolitical interests in the Indian Ocean. The thread suggests Gandhi's covert travel and past opposition to these projects raises questions about transparency and potential foreign involvement.May 3, 202618 tweets♥ 5.3K
Daractenus@DaractenusTo put Russia's appetite for more land into the context it deserves by showing what they've done with the apparently insufficient land they already have, I decided to combine all my old and new travel...
SummaryA scathing satirical travel guide thread mocking Russia's decaying cities, highlighting their pollution, poverty, crime, and infrastructure failures as commentary on Russia's territorial ambitions despite mismanagement of existing lands.Aug 6, 202631 tweets♥ 5.9K
United States Trade Representative@USTradeRepFor decades, Brazil’s unreasonable acts, policies, and practices have harmed U.S. commerce, including by unfairly advantaging Brazil’s producers over their American competitors and by restricting acce...
SummaryThe U.S. administration outlines multiple trade grievances against Brazil, including illegal deforestation harming the logging industry, Brazilian courts issuing secret orders against U.S. tech companies, unfair tariff preferences for other nations, weak anti-corruption enforcement, inadequate IP protection, and discrimination against U.S. ethanol and payment services. These practices are characterized as non-reciprocal and harmful to fair competition.Jul 16, 20267 tweets♥ 6K
Jorge Liboreiro@JorgeLiboreiroThe European Union has triggered Article 122 to indefinitely immobilise the assets of the Russian Central Bank, worth a whopping €210 billion. I explain what just happened and why this is such a big...
SummaryThe EU invoked Article 122 to indefinitely immobilize €210 billion in Russian Central Bank assets, preventing their return to Russia unless it ceases aggression and pays war reparations. This move bypasses traditional unanimity requirements and protects the assets from geopolitical interference, while potentially funding Ukraine's estimated €135 billion financial and military needs.Dec 11, 202515 tweets♥ 5.8K
JP Lindsley | Journalist@JPLindsley1/ Ukrainian fighter pilot Vadym Voroshylov says Sweden's Gripen is "the only fighter jet in the world I'd sell my soul for." Stockholm and Kyiv have struck a deal on this workhorse Swedish fighter....
SummarySweden and Ukraine have agreed to supply Swedish Gripen fighter jets to Ukraine, with potential for 100-150 aircraft. Ukrainian pilot Vadym Voroshylov explains the Gripen's advantages: superior durability for damaged runways, ability to operate from short road strips, fast turnaround times, weapon flexibility, hot refueling capability, and lower operating costs compared to F-16s and MiG-29s.Oct 27, 202510 tweets♥ 6.9KDaractenus@Daractenus