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Mike Madrid@madrid_mike · Sep 10, 2026

The Cook Political/Univision poll of Latinos is absolutely brutal for the GOP. Talarico 63% Paxton 30% Hinojosa 60%…

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Summary

A Cook Political/Univision poll shows dramatic erosion of GOP support among Texas Latino voters, with Democratic candidates leading by 30+ points. The data reveals that Latino voters, including Trump supporters, prioritize the economy over immigration by a 2:1 margin, suggesting the rightward shift among Hispanic voters may be reversing significantly.

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  1. #1

    The Cook Political/Univision poll of Latinos is absolutely brutal for the GOP. Talarico 63% Paxton 30% Hinojosa 60% Abbott 33% A couple observations: 🧵

  2. #2

    A 30% support level for Paxton is California level Republican support - Texas Republicans regularly get 6-9% more than CA with Latinos. The rightward shift happened earlier and bigger in Texas than in CA and the reversion is also bigger. Here’s more…2/6

  3. #3

    •18% of Texas Hispanics who voted for Trump in 2024 disapprove of the job he is doing.  •19% of them say they support Talarico over Paxton. •22% of Hispanic Trumpers don’t support a GOP House candidate in a generic trial heat. 3/6

  4. #4

    •Just 60% of Hispanic Trumpers believe the GOP does a better job standing up for Hispanics, compared to 91% of Harris voters who believe that Dems do a better job. This is just massive hemorrhaging with the voters Texas Republicans drew new maps around #dummymander 4/6

  5. #5

    This is kind of movement I have never seen in 35 years of watching the Latino vote. Why? Because it’s never happened before. The biggest takeaway? 5/6

  6. #6

    The economy—not immigration-remains the top issue for these voters by a two-to-one margin over immigration and ICE combined. THE ECONOMY BY A 2:1 MARGIN Can you hear me now??