The blowout is coming. The race isn’t close. It’s not neck and neck. You’re reading that right. Harris is going to win…

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Summary

A political analyst argues that Harris is poised for a significant electoral victory, pointing to Democratic leads in swing state Senate races, favorable gender and independent voting gaps, and better Harris favorability numbers compared to Trump. The thread contends that internal polling shows Democratic momentum and that media narratives about a close race are driven by ratings concerns rather than actual polling data.

Summarized by ThreadOut AI from the full thread. May miss nuance — read the thread below.

#1
The blowout is coming. The race isn’t close. It’s not neck and neck. You’re reading that right. Harris is going to win in a blowout. 🧵
#2
I’ll say it again for the people in the back: Trump and the GOP are in serious trouble— and they know it. Want to know the state of the race? Follow along.
#3
1) Look at the senate races in the swing states where the electoral college will be decided— Republicans are behind in every single one. Every. Single. One. And Democrats are within MOE in TEXAS AND FLORIDA. (Ted Cruz and Rick Scott)
#4
2) Indies and the Gender Gap. Women and Independents will drive the election and they are breaking for Harris especially in Arizona and Nevada. NC, GA already in play thanks to the Gender Gap… but there’s one more…
#5
3) Florida. Florida is in play with the abortion Amendment, Rick Scott - Powell senate race is competitive with Dems pouring millions into it. Trump was consistently 4-5pts ahead but now in MoE. If Harris wins Florida, it’s over.
#6
4) Harris favorability is better than Trumps, and we’ve never seen a candidate with worse favorability than Trump.
#7
5) It’s GOTV. It’s classic electoral strategy to push the narrative the race is close to motivate turnout at this stage of the campaign. The national polls and the MSM are full of noise and narrative pushing. Internal polling from both campaigns show Dem momentum and Harris ahead
#8
6) Only polls that matter: swing states especially those with senate races. This race isn’t close. Trump and Republicans know it. Democrats know it.
#9
7) Dems are looking to run up the score, and eradicate MAGA for good by taking back the house and holding the senate. — and it’s right there in front of them. There’s a chance Democrats win Florida and NC and end this thing by 10ET on election night.
#10
8) Hold onto your butts. Ignore the noise. Trump and the Republicans are cooked and our long national nightmare is almost over.
#11
9) Dems focusing on running up the score, and motivating voters for GOTV. They are having a rally in TEXAS this late in the game. Media pushing narrative that the race is close simply for tv ratings.