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Clément Molin@clement_molin · Sep 14, 2026

As summer is slowly finishing, both Ukraine 🇺🇦 and Russia 🇷🇺 are reorganizing their forces Most of the Russian…

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Summary

As summer ends, Russia is reorganizing its forces after failing to reach strategic objectives, concentrating massive armies on a 30km front in Dobropillia, while Ukraine is simultaneously restructuring its command with new army corps groupings. The analysis breaks down both militaries' deployments across the northern, central, and southern fronts, highlighting key failed Russian offensives and Ukraine's redeployment strategy.

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  1. #1

    As summer is slowly finishing, both Ukraine 🇺🇦 and Russia 🇷🇺 are reorganizing their forces Most of the Russian groupings failed to reach their planned objectives and now concentrate massive forces on a 30km wide front in Dobropillia. 🧵THREAD🧵1/14 ⬇️

  2. #2

    On the northern front, the "Sever" grouping managed to open some new cross border operations but failed to create a large buffer zone on the border. The main forces here are composed of the 44th Army Corps.

  3. #3

    A year after Kupiansk was claimed as captured by Russia, the city is still disputed and the Ukrainians still control many positions east of the Oskil river. The 6th CAA managed to widden the cross border push but lost positions across the Oskil in Dvorichna.

  4. #4

    Further south, the 20th CAA completly failed, losing the edge north of Lyman and lost 3 regiments in the fighting. The 25th CAA also failed to secure Lyman and advance on Sloviansk. Only the 3rd CAA managed to advance on Sloviansk, which has been one of the most successful.

  5. #5

    In the central part of Donbas, Russia keeps smaller forces East of Kramatorsk (70th MRD and 6th MRD, which is attacking Kostiantynivka). The southern flank of Donbas has now 3 armies attacking, the 8th, 41st (moved to Dobropilla from Pokrovsk) and 51st CAA.

  6. #6

    The 76th AAD and 2nd CAA continue to control the western flank of the main offensive in Pokrovsk, while the weak remains of the 90th TD remain in the Novopavlivka area. Southward, we arrive to Vostok grouping, with the 29th CAA (that is responsible for part of the losses this year in this direction).

  7. #7

    On the southern frontline, the 36th CAA, 68th AC, 5th, 35th and 58th CAA continue to attack Orikhiv from all side, while some divisions keep pressure south of Zaporizhzhia.

  8. #8

    The weak Dniepr grouping is currently not responsible for any offensive action. That's all for Russian forces (there are probably some errrors in my map !)

  9. #9

    Ukrainian command is now reorganizing forces with new groupings, going back to the previous organisation. The positions of Army Corps are mostly indicative since the organisation is not yet fully ready. Northern direction is covered by at least 3 Army Corps.

  10. #10

    The Kharkiv direction is covered by the 2nd Army Corps, Vovchansk by the 16th AC and the Kupiansk direction by the 10th AC.

  11. #11

    The 3rd Army Corps is now responsible for the "Center" grouping (with new brigades) from Borova to Sloviansk), while the new "Azov" grouping is responsible for the Kramatorsk-Dobropilla direction with the 1st, 19th and 11th AC.

  12. #12

    The new "South" grouping should be responsible for the Pokorvsk-Zaporizhzhia direction, with the 12th, 7th, 21st, 8th, 20th, 9th and 17th Army Corps.

  13. #13

    Finally the Dnipro direction is covered by the 30th Marine Corps. Sources used for this thread are the following ones : @UAControlMap, @WarUnitObserver, @Militarylandnet and @Jeff21461

  14. #14

    The most important to keep in mind : 🔹Russia concentrate the 8th, 41st and 51st armies (Tcentr) against the Dobropilla-Drujkivka direction, facing Ukraine's 1st Azov Army Corps (Azov grp). 🔹Russia concentrate weaker forces east of Kramatorsk and Sloviansk with the "Ioug" grouping, while Ukraine is currently reorganising this direction. 🔹Ukraine's 3rd Army Corps (Center) is advancing against Russia's 20th and 25th Armies. Thanks for following