🔥 Ukraine’s Zelensky: “This war will increasingly be felt inside russia.” 🧵 1/21

🔥 Ukraine’s Zelensky: “This war will increasingly be felt inside russia.” 🧵 1/21

🔥russia’s budget deficit: January–July 2026 deficit already exceeds the entire 2025 shortfall of ₽5.625T ($66.8B). Oil & gas revenues brought in only ₽4.595T ($54.6B) — barely half of 2025’s full-year take. War spending remains elevated while the revenue base erodes. 2/21

🔥Nabiullina tries to call the shock “temporary” — her own bank disagrees The Central Bank just raised its 2026 inflation forecast to 6–7%, cut GDP growth to 0–1%, & keeps the key rate at 14%. It explicitly cites weaker exports, damaged production capacity & softer demand. 3/21

🔥 Kpler: Ukraine's drones push russian refinery runs to 21-year lows July-to-date crude runs fell to ~3.8M bpd — the lowest in more than two decades. Attacked/downtime capacity reached ~4.3 mbd (~58% of total), while effective offline capacity remains 1.5–2.0 mbd. 4/21

🔥 russia’s petroleum-product exports collapse -59% From ~2.7 mb/d in early 2024 to ~1.1 mb/d by July 2026 (Kpler/EOA). Higher-value refined products are being replaced by lower-value crude. Oil-export revenues fell even as crude volumes rose. 5/21

🔥 Kremlin’s main state bank sees defeat in the economic war of attrition with the West A leading state bank projects russia cannot sustain the confrontation: soaring military spending, shrinking energy rents and rising domestic costs are structurally unsustainable. 6/21

🔥 Eco Igor Lipsits: “What kind of a state is this if it can’t even provide you w/ gasoline? This deep irritation w/ the regime is growing. This is very similar to the Soviet Union” As soon as someone in Putin’s circle decides to move, “he will receive incredible support.” 7/21

🔥 second wave of fuel shortages hits over 16 regions — Sochi residents told to walk, - TMT Gasoline queues and empty pumps have returned across more than 16 regions, with some forced to impose gasoline sales limits. In Sochi, residents are being advised to walk. 8/21

🔥 "We are entering a very dangerous period. Fatigue & frustration are building up. The treasury will be depleted by early November." Kalashnikov stated that the mobilization in russia will coincide with the complete exhaustion of the state budget. How will it be financed? 9/21

🔥 “Fell like a stone”: 🇷🇺 market records biggest drop since September 2022 The Moscow Exchange index plunged 4.29% in a single session wiping roughly ₽250 billion ($3B) off capitalization. Trigger: Lavrov rejected a Black Sea truce & threatened “harsher methods.” 10/21

🔥 Putin's former opponent laughs at russians who can’t afford life — as housing glut deepens. A journalist asks how young people earning ₽60–70k/month can afford homes while pensions sit at ₽20k. Duma Vice-Speaker Davankov, earning ~₽500k/month, bursts out laughing. 11/21

🔥 regional budgets in crisis — over half of russia’s regions in deficit 56 regions now run budget deficits — 10 more than a year earlier. Combined regional deficits are projected to reach ~₽4.5 trillion ($53B) by year-end. Salaries are already under strain. 12/21

🔥 Newsweek: Wildberries drone campaign leaves Moscow in its worst economic position since 1991 More than 1.18M m² of warehouse space destroyed, losses running into hundreds of billions of rubles The shock is spreading through retail supply chains, SMEs, etc. 13/21

🔥Wildberries Losses Approach ₽1 Trillion — “95% of the Goods Burned” Data Insight and seller associations estimate total damage (infrastructure + lost inventory) nearing 1 trillion rubles (~$12B). russia’s largest marketplace has become a systemic economic liability. 14/21

Grain Union president Arkady Zlachevsky: grain exports have collapsed threefold. 🇺🇦 strikes crippled the Azov route (25% of wheat exports). 🇷🇺 grain now trades at a $38 discount. Farmers have no buyers. “This is not just a crisis. It is a direct path to disaster.” 15/21

🔥 grain is piling up — russian farmers can’t move or sell it At the Zimovnikovsky elevator, only ~30 KamAZ trucks are unloaded daily while ~70 wait — some for 2–4 days. Prices are reportedly below production costs. This isn’t a grain shortage — it’s a breakdown. 16/21

🔥 Novorossiysk grain hub offline — wheat exports head for decade low All 3 major terminals at russia’s largest Black Sea grain port suspended ops. Farmers warn that unless Black Sea exports are restored quickly, it could soon be too late — a complete financial ruin. 17/21

🔥Imported gasoline from India & Morocco stuck in Murmansk. While regions face shortages and queues, cargoes of gasoline purchased to ease the crisis remain stuck at the port of Murmansk. Logistics and distribution bottlenecks are compounding the refining shortfall. 18/21

🔥 Klimov warns: “are you crazy? mobilization under these conditions will blow up the country” A new mobilization would mean “mass sacrifice” & risk destabilizing russia from within. 30,000–40,000 casualties a month versus ~1,000 contract recruits a day. 19/21

🔥 Türkiye suspends russian oil purchases via Black Sea Following 🇺🇦 drone strikes on ports and loading infrastructure, Türkiye has suspended purchases of russian oil through the Black Sea route. A major regional buyer is stepping away from the disrupted corridor. 20/21

🔥 The war economy is eating itself Ukraine is hitting russia’s energy exports, e-commerce, grain routes & fuel supply at once.. 🇷🇺: “You’ll be frozen this winter” 🇺🇦: “We’ll warm ourselves with the fire of russian oil refineries” Support Ukraine. RT. #NAFO #NafoFellas 21/21

🐝 🔥 Ukraine is fighting a war where every drone can save lives — and @wilendhornets keep putting them into the hands of those who need them most. Behind every strike is a team building, testing and delivering. If you can, support Wild Hornets. Share 🙏 👇 #NAFO #NAFOFellas

🇺🇦Ukraine Resists ruzzian Genocide... Yeah Again@ArmedMaidan · Aug 14, 2026

9 Shaheds downed last night near Odesa in this first-ever glimpse inside a Hornet Vision CTRL remote-control command centre during combat The 11th National Guard Brigade's Samosud (Vigilante) unit had a 95% hit rate with STING interceptors Send more top drones—shop merch at our store: bonfire.com/store/wildhorn… Every $1 helps bring victory closer—11 ways to support: linktr.ee/wildhornets The Hornet Vision CTRL drone control system lets teams fly drones hundreds of kilometres from the launch point This increases soldier safety and vastly expands the zone of operations This is the first drone remote-control system certified to NATO standards and purchased by Ukraine's defence ministry

🔥 Sources powering this thread: russian Ministry of Finance, Bank of russia, Federal Tax Service (FNS), Rosstat, Unified Register of SMEs, Agenstvo, Vёрстка, The Moscow Times, RBC, Radio Svoboda, Kommersant, Interfax, Data Insight, Reuters, Belsat, TVP World, Bloomberg, FT, Forbes, CNN, BBC russian, Gazeta.ru, Vedomosti, S&P, The Insider, The Economist, Politico, Newsweek